Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000096 0.000107 0.000118 0.000130 0.000144 0.000159 0.000177
2025-12-28 0.000080 0.000094 0.000110 0.000128 0.000151 0.000176 0.000208
2026-01-04 0.000070 0.000086 0.000105 0.000130 0.000160 0.000197 0.000245
2026-01-11 0.000062 0.000079 0.000101 0.000130 0.000168 0.000215 0.000281
2026-01-18 0.000055 0.000073 0.000097 0.000129 0.000174 0.000232 0.000316
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000068 0.000093 0.000128 0.000179 0.000248 0.000352
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000064 0.000090 0.000128 0.000185 0.000266 0.000390
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000059 0.000086 0.000127 0.000188 0.000279 0.000423
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000056 0.000083 0.000126 0.000193 0.000294 0.000460
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000053 0.000081 0.000126 0.000198 0.000311 0.000502
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000050 0.000078 0.000125 0.000201 0.000323 0.000538
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000048 0.000077 0.000126 0.000209 0.000344 0.000589
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000126 0.000215 0.000363 0.000639
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000044 0.000073 0.000126 0.000218 0.000379 0.000685
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000043 0.000073 0.000127 0.000227 0.000404 0.000750
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000128 0.000233 0.000424 0.000808
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000127 0.000237 0.000442 0.000864
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000126 0.000241 0.000459 0.000919
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000126 0.000246 0.000479 0.000982
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000064 0.000125 0.000247 0.000491 0.001032
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000033 0.000063 0.000124 0.000251 0.000508 0.001092
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000032 0.000062 0.000124 0.000256 0.000529 0.001163
2026-05-24 0.000016 0.000031 0.000060 0.000123 0.000258 0.000543 0.001219